Recent years have experienced increasing utilization of complex machine learning models across multiple sources of data to inform more generalizable decision-making. However, distribution shifts across data sources and privacy concerns related to sharing individual-level data, coupled with a lack of uncertainty quantification from machine learning predictions, make it challenging to achieve valid inferences in multi-source environments. In this paper, we consider the problem of obtaining distribution-free prediction intervals for a target population, leveraging multiple potentially biased data sources. We derive the efficient influence functions for the quantiles of unobserved outcomes in the target and source populations, and show that one can incorporate machine learning prediction algorithms in the estimation of nuisance functions while still achieving parametric rates of convergence to nominal coverage probabilities. Moreover, when conditional outcome invariance is violated, we propose a data-adaptive strategy to upweight informative data sources for efficiency gain and downweight non-informative data sources for bias reduction. We highlight the robustness and efficiency of our proposals for a variety of conformal scores and data-generating mechanisms via extensive synthetic experiments. Hospital length of stay prediction intervals for pediatric patients undergoing a high-risk cardiac surgical procedure between 2016-2022 in the U.S. illustrate the utility of our methodology.

In the aftermath of disasters, building damage maps are obtained using change detection to plan rescue operations. Current convolutional neural network approaches do not consider the similarities between neighboring buildings for predicting the damage. We present a novel graph-based building damage detection solution to capture these relationships. Our proposed model architecture learns from both local and neighborhood features to predict building damage. Specifically, we adopt the sample and aggregate graph convolution strategy to learn aggregation functions that generalize to unseen graphs which is essential for alleviating the time needed to obtain predictions for new disasters. Our experiments on the xBD dataset and comparisons with a classical convolutional neural network reveal that while our approach is handicapped by class imbalance, it presents a promising and distinct advantage when it comes to cross-disaster generalization.